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Home France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Nantes

Predictions Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes April 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Clement Turpin, France
Home Win · PSG
79%
Best 1.17
Draw
16%
Best 8.00
Away Win · NAN
6%
Best 15.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.86
book 3.20 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 16%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 5.5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.5%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PSG – NAN @ 3.20
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →