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Home France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Monaco

Predictions Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco March 6, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 19:45
1:3
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Ruddy Buquet, France
Home Win · PSG
74%
Best 1.35
Draw
17%
Best 5.65
Away Win · MON
9%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.02
Fair odds
5.81
book 6.02 · +3.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +3.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.02
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8.6%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 28%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.13
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Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.6%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – MON @ 6.02
+3.7%
Edge
Forecast →