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Home France Ligue 1 Nice — Lorient

Predictions Nice vs Lorient February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nice
Nice
Home · last 5 D L D D W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 16:15
3:3
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Allianz Riviera · Nice Referee Jeremy Stinat, France
Home Win · NIC
38%
Best 2.25
Draw
26%
Best 3.38
Away Win · LOR
36%
Best 3.13
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.77
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.77 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (64%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 36.4%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NIC – LOR @ 1.77
+9.8%
Edge
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