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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Everton

Predictions Aston Villa vs Everton January 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Everton
Everton
L D D L L Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Tony Harrington, England
Home Win · AST
63%
Best 1.62
Draw
23%
Best 3.98
Away Win · EVE
13%
Best 5.70
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.37
book 3.75 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +11.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.1%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.1%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AST – EVE @ 3.75
+11.3%
Edge
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