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Home France Ligue 1 Monaco — Nantes

Predictions Monaco vs Nantes February 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Feb · 20:05
3:1
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Eric Wattellier, France
Home Win · MON
69%
Best 1.44
Draw
20%
Best 4.80
Away Win · NAN
11%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.60
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.60 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 4.93
Show model details
Implied probability 20.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 6.76
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MON – NAN @ 2.60
+13.8%
Edge
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