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Home England Premier League Brighton — Bournemouth

Predictions Brighton vs Bournemouth January 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Mon 19 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex Referee Paul Tierney, England
Home Win · BRI
45%
Best 1.91
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · BOU
33%
Best 3.83
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.97
Fair odds
1.80
book 1.97 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (67%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 32.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BRI – BOU @ 1.97
+9.2%
Edge
Forecast →