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Home France Ligue 1 Metz — Nice

Predictions Metz vs Nice November 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:15
2:1
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D D W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Stephanie Frappart, France
Home Win · MET
21%
Best 3.00
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · NIC
55%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.20
Fair odds
12.61
book 14.20 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.7%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20.8%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.8%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
MET – NIC @ 14.20
+12.6%
Edge
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