Match Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa January 7, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +7.4% better than the market.

Aston Villa arrive at Selhurst Park with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong momentum with recent wins contrasting Crystal Palace's struggles. Villa's defensive solidity and slightly better overall strength suggest they can control the game despite a modest attacking edge from Palace. The home side's defensive frailties and poor recent results hint at a tough night ahead.

Villa's form and quality gap favor an away edge
Palace's defensive issues may be exploited
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 71% +0.40u

+40%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · AST 4-2-3-1

CRY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · AST

14 Mateta

Subs used · CRY

90'

Sosa ↑ ·

Devenny ↓

Subs used · AST

46'

Bizot ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

65'

Buendia ↑ ·

Sancho ↓

73'

Malen ↑ ·

McGinn ↓

73'

Maatsen ↑ ·

Digne ↓

82'

Bogarde ↑ ·

Kamara ↓

📊 Statistics

CRY 0 – 0 AST

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

8 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Bizot ↓ · E. Martinez ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

E. Buendia ↓ · J. Sancho ↑

Substitution 2

Brennan Johnson

Yellow Card

▮

67'

73'

⇄

D. Malen ↓ · J. McGinn ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

I. Maatsen ↓ · L. Digne ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

L. Bogarde ↓ · B. Kamara ↑

Substitution 5

Tyrick Mitchell

Yellow Card

▮

83'

B. Sosa ↓ · J. Devenny ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

90'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Crystal Palace and Aston Villa drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 3 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +10.08 units (Brier 0.328).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.44	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	45%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.96	—	49%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.86	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.63	—	50%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.29	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.35	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.78	—	25%	Cashed	+2.78	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.30	—	8%	Cashed	+10.30	Cashed
Home Win	3.23	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+10.08u	+59% ROI