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Home France Ligue 1 Strasbourg — Marseille

Predictions Strasbourg vs Marseille September 26, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 26 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Home Win · STR
27%
Best 3.42
VALUE
Draw
28%
Best 3.67
Away Win · MAR
46%
Best 2.09
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.85
Fair odds
3.57
book 3.85 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 28% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw Value pick
Probability 28%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
STR – MAR @ 3.85
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →