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Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Genoa

Predictions Lecce vs Genoa May 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Home Win · LEC
46%
Best 1.93
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · GEN
28%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.86
book 2.10 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 5.11
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – GEN @ 2.10
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →