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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Udinese

Predictions Napoli vs Udinese May 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Zanotti, Italy
Home Win · NAP
68%
Best 1.52
Draw
22%
Best 4.56
Away Win · UDI
10%
Best 7.37
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.48
book 3.75 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NAP – UDI @ 3.75
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →