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Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Cagliari

Predictions AC Milan vs Cagliari May 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Home Win · MIL
76%
Best 1.33
Draw
18%
Best 5.43
Away Win · CAG
6%
Best 12.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.04
book 4.50 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.79
Show model details
Implied probability 17.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 6.4%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.8%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 14.60
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 44%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MIL – CAG @ 4.50
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →