P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Como — Parma

Predictions Como vs Parma May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
1:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Home Win · COM
77%
Best 1.30
Draw
18%
Best 6.01
Away Win · PAR
6%
Best 12.80
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.32
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.32 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 17.7%
Odds 6.27
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.8%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 42%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.8%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
COM – PAR @ 2.32
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →