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Home Italy Serie A Pisa — Napoli

Predictions Pisa vs Napoli May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
0:3
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Home Win · PIS
8%
Best 9.50
Draw
20%
Best 5.11
Away Win · NAP
72%
Best 1.42
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.59
book 4.10 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.16
Show model details
Implied probability 19.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 8.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.7%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 8.3%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 28%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – NAP @ 4.10
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →