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Home Italy Serie A Inter — Hellas Verona

Match Inter vs Hellas Verona May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Andrea Calzavara, Italy
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.73
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 37% · book 2.75
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.11
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.71 – 1.20
Δ +1.51
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 8.00 — +14.0% better than the market.

Inter arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Hellas Verona's defensive frailties. The home side's recent form shows consistent wins, while Verona struggles to find rhythm, especially away. Expect Inter to control the pace with a compact block and pressing edge, likely limiting Verona's chances.

  • Inter's offensive pressure vs Verona's leaky defense
  • Home advantage at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Verona's recent poor form and low scoring threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 8.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 14% Implied 13% +7.00u
+700%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · VER 3-5-1-1
Subs used · INT
64' Dimarco ↑ · Darmian
64' Zielinski ↑ · Diouf
64' Esposito ↑ · Bonny
75' Mosconi ↑ · Martinez
81' Di Gennaro ↑ · Sommer
Subs used · VER
46' Harroui ↑ · Bernede
61' Akpa Akpro ↑ · Belghali
61' Sarr ↑ · Suslov
81' Bradaric ↑ · Frese
84' Vermesan ↑ · Lovric

📊 Statistics

INT 11 VER
74%
Possession (%)
26%
2.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.20
17
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
12
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
0
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
A. Harroui ↓ · A. Bernede ↑
Substitution 1
A. Edmundsson
Own goal · 1–0
47'
61'
N. Valentini
Yellow Card
61'
J. Akpa Akpro ↓ · R. Belghali ↑
Substitution 2
61'
A. Sarr ↓ · T. Suslov ↑
Substitution 3
F. Dimarco ↓ · M. Darmian ↑
Substitution 1
64'
P. Zielinski ↓ · A. Diouf ↑
Substitution 2
64'
F. Esposito ↓ · A. Bonny ↑
Substitution 3
64'
M. Mosconi ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
75'
R. Di Gennaro ↓ · Y. Sommer ↑
Substitution 5
81'
81'
D. Bradaric ↓ · M. Frese ↑
Substitution 4
84'
I. Vermesan ↓ · S. Lovric ↑
Substitution 5
89'
R. Gagliardini
Yellow Card
90+1'
K. Bowie
1–1
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Inter and Hellas Verona drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.71 to 1.20. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2.

On the scoresheet: A. Edmundsson (47'), K. Bowie (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +6.85 units (Brier 0.296).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.73 1.57 59% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.75 2.45 37% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.11 2.02 47% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.29 2.45 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 1.74 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 8.00 6.54 14% Cashed +7.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.07 1.05 95% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.21 1.26 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.47 1.53 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.03 1.05 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 5.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.05 3.98 19% Cashed +4.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 1.14 82% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 16.50 10.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.60 6.90 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +6.85u +46% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – VER @ 8.00
+14.0%
Edge
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