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Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Juventus

Predictions Lecce vs Juventus May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Colombo
Home Win · LEC
11%
Best 9.00
Draw
21%
Best 4.68
Away Win · JUV
69%
Best 1.48
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.76
book 4.20 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEC – JUV @ 4.20
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →