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Home Italy Serie A Parma — AS Roma

Predictions Parma vs AS Roma May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 16:00
2:3
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Home Win · PAR
12%
Best 7.75
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · ROM
69%
Best 1.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
2.99
book 3.40 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.1%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PAR – ROM @ 3.40
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →