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Home Italy Serie A Inter — Parma

Predictions Inter vs Parma May 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy
Home Win · INT
78%
Best 1.25
Draw
17%
Best 7.01
Away Win · PAR
6%
Best 14.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.81
Fair odds
6.05
book 6.81 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.5%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – PAR @ 6.81
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →