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Home Italy Serie A Lazio — Udinese

Predictions Lazio vs Udinese April 27, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Mon 27 Apr · 18:45
3:3
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Referee K. Bonacina
Home Win · LAZ
46%
Best 2.32
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · UDI
26%
Best 3.72
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.14
Fair odds
3.80
book 4.14 · +9.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +9.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LAZ – UDI @ 4.14
+9.0%
Edge
Forecast →