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Home Italy Serie A Inter — Cagliari

Predictions Inter vs Cagliari April 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Home Win · INT
80%
Best 1.22
Draw
15%
Best 6.25
Away Win · CAG
5%
Best 13.13
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.46
Fair odds
6.75
book 7.46 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.46
Show model details
Implied probability 13.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.9%
Odds 9.70
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 19.7%
Odds 4.95
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – CAG @ 7.46
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →