Match Hellas Verona vs AC Milan April 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.65 — +8.5% better than the market.

AC Milan arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form despite Verona's home ground. Milan's potent attack is likely to challenge Verona's defense, which has struggled lately. The home side's low scoring and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Milan's pressing and offensive efficiency could dominate. Expect a controlled pace with Milan dictating play and Verona aiming to absorb pressure.

Milan's superior offensive firepower vs Verona's leaky defense
Home side's poor recent form and low scoring trend
Milan's ability to control tempo and press high

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.65 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 61% +0.65u

+65%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VER 3-4-2-1 · MIL 3-5-2

VER · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · MIL

16 Orban

Subs used · VER

21'

Lirola ↑ ·

Oyegoke ↓

46'

Vermesan ↑ ·

Bradaric ↓

64'

Musrati ↑ ·

Akpa Akpro ↓

82'

Isaac ↑ ·

Bernede ↓

83'

Lovric ↑ ·

Gagliardini ↓

Subs used · MIL

63'

Saelemaekers ↑ ·

Athekame ↓

63'

Gimenez ↑ ·

Leao ↓

64'

Ricci ↑ ·

Fofana ↓

80'

Nkunku ↑ ·

Pulisic ↓

📊 Statistics

VER 0 – 1 MIL

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 1

P. Lirola ↓ · D. Oyegoke ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

21'

Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro

Yellow Card

▮

24'

41'

⚽

A. Rabiot

Assist · R. Leao · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

I. Vermesan ↓ · D. Bradaric ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

63'

⇄

A. Saelemaekers ↓ · Z. Athekame ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

S. Gimenez ↓ · R. Leao ↑

Substitution 2

Al Musrati ↓ · J. Akpa Akpro ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

⇄

S. Ricci ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

C. Nkunku ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑

Substitution 4

Isaac ↓ · A. Bernede ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

S. Lovric ↓ · R. Gagliardini ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Mutassim Al-Musrati

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

AC Milan won 1–0 away at Hellas Verona. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1.

On the scoresheet: A. Rabiot (41').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.61 units (Brier 0.136).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.65	—	66%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.86	—	56%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	57%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.17	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.09	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.45	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.20	—	66%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	30%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	77%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.14	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.35	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.80	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.55	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.03	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.61u	−21% ROI