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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Juventus

Predictions Atalanta vs Juventus April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Home Win · ATA
23%
Best 3.10
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · JUV
51%
Best 2.30
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.20 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (64%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 50.9%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 22.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 22.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ATA – JUV @ 3.20
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →