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Home Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Cagliari

Predictions Sassuolo vs Cagliari April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Referee D. Chiffi
Home Win · SAS
56%
Best 2.10
Draw
28%
Best 3.08
Away Win · CAG
17%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.00
Fair odds
8.19
book 9.00 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 12% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (88%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.46
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 16.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 44.4%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
SAS – CAG @ 9.00
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →