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Home Italy Serie A Bologna — Lazio

Predictions Bologna vs Lazio March 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee E. Feliciani
Home Win · BOL
50%
Best 2.40
Draw
29%
Best 3.00
Away Win · LAZ
21%
Best 3.30
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.00 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (64%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.2%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 21.2%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BOL – LAZ @ 3.00
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →