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Home Italy Serie A AS Roma — Lecce

Predictions AS Roma vs Lecce March 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Home Win · ROM
69%
Best 1.44
Draw
22%
Best 4.10
Away Win · LEC
9%
Best 7.70
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 10.00
Fair odds
8.85
book 10.00 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 11% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (89%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.23
Show model details
Implied probability 23.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9.1%
Odds 6.02
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ROM – LEC @ 10.00
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →