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Home Italy Serie A Pisa — Cagliari

Predictions Pisa vs Cagliari March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee F. La Penna
Home Win · PIS
30%
Best 2.55
Draw
30%
Best 2.87
Away Win · CAG
41%
Best 3.15
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.41
book 2.75 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (59%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.6%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.09
Show model details
Implied probability 32.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 14.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 14.9%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – CAG @ 2.75
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →