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Home England Premier League Sunderland — Manchester City

Predictions Sunderland vs Manchester City January 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Thu 01 Jan · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Home Win · SUN
9%
Best 8.00
Draw
20%
Best 4.90
Away Win · MCI
71%
Best 1.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.80
Fair odds
4.49
book 4.80 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (78%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.87
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 9.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 9.2%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 29.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SUN – MCI @ 4.80
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →