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Home Italy Serie A Lazio — Sassuolo

Predictions Lazio vs Sassuolo March 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Mon 09 Mar · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Home Win · LAZ
37%
Best 2.32
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · SAS
35%
Best 3.35
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.74
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.74 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (65%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.6%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LAZ – SAS @ 1.74
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →