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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Cremonese

Predictions Atalanta vs Cremonese February 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Mon 09 Feb · 17:30
2:1
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Marco Piccinini, Italy
Home Win · ATA
74%
Best 1.35
Draw
19%
Best 5.00
Away Win · CRE
7%
Best 8.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.14
book 4.50 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (76%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.2%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ATA – CRE @ 4.50
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →