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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Cagliari

Predictions Fiorentina vs Cagliari January 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Home Win · FIO
60%
Best 1.89
Draw
23%
Best 3.40
Away Win · CAG
17%
Best 4.45
Value pick
Away Win
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.84
book 6.00 · +2.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +2.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (60%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FIO – CAG @ 6.00
+2.7%
Edge
Forecast →