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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Parma

Predictions Atalanta vs Parma January 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 14:00
4:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Home Win · ATA
72%
Best 1.40
Draw
20%
Best 4.68
Away Win · PAR
9%
Best 7.91
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.50
Fair odds
12.74
book 14.50 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.94
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8.6%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ATA – PAR @ 14.50
+13.8%
Edge
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