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Home Italy Serie A AS Roma — Sassuolo

Predictions AS Roma vs Sassuolo January 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Home Win · ROM
66%
Best 1.67
Draw
23%
Best 3.68
Away Win · SAS
11%
Best 5.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.26
book 3.50 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.1%
Odds 4.97
Show model details
Implied probability 20.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ROM – SAS @ 3.50
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →