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Home England Premier League Sunderland — Leeds

Predictions Sunderland vs Leeds December 28, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Tony Harrington, England
Home Win · SUN
30%
Best 2.75
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · LEE
43%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.17
Fair odds
2.82
book 3.17 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +12.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29.8%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.96
Show model details
Implied probability 33.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.1%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.8%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SUN – LEE @ 3.17
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →