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Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Genoa

Predictions AC Milan vs Genoa January 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Thu 08 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Home Win · MIL
71%
Best 1.49
Draw
21%
Best 4.05
Away Win · GEN
8%
Best 7.90
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.36 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.66
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.5%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.7%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.2%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MIL – GEN @ 2.36
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →