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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Cremonese

Predictions Fiorentina vs Cremonese January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Home Win · FIO
47%
Best 1.75
Draw
25%
Best 3.77
Away Win · CRE
28%
Best 4.85
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.12
Fair odds
1.88
book 2.12 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FIO – CRE @ 2.12
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →