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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — AS Roma

Predictions Atalanta vs AS Roma January 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy
Home Win · ATA
35%
Best 2.33
Draw
28%
Best 3.05
Away Win · ROM
37%
Best 3.43
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.67
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.67 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +8.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 35.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ATA – ROM @ 1.67
+8.5%
Edge
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