Match AC Milan vs Hellas Verona December 28, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.22 — +6.6% better than the market.

AC Milan arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Verona’s defense. Their recent form shows resilience and consistency, while Verona’s defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. The pace is likely moderate, favoring Milan’s controlled build-up and pressing edge.

Home crowd advantage at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Superior attacking vs defensive matchup for Milan
Verona’s inconsistent away form may limit their threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.22 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · VER 3-5-1-1

MIL · 3-5-2 3-5-1-1 · VER

11 Pulišić ⚽

Subs used · MIL

70'

Jashari ↑ ·

Modric ↓

71'

Fofana ↑ ·

Loftus-Cheek ↓

76'

Ricci ↑ ·

Pulisic ↓

76'

Athekame ↑ ·

Saelemaekers ↓

86'

Odogu ↑ ·

Tomori ↓

Subs used · VER

46'

Sarr ↑ ·

Mosquera ↓

46'

Orban ↑ ·

Giovane ↓

65'

Valentini ↑ ·

Bradaric ↓

75'

Serdar ↑ ·

Oyegoke ↓

84'

Harroui ↑ ·

Musrati ↓

📊 Statistics

MIL 3 – 0 VER

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.38

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0

43'

▮

Mutassim Al-Musrati

Yellow Card

C. Pulisic

Assist · A. Rabiot · 1–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

A. Sarr ↓ · D. Mosquera ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

G. Orban ↓ · Giovane ↑

Substitution 2

C. Nkunku (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

48'

C. Nkunku

3–0

⚽

53'

65'

⇄

N. Valentini ↓ · D. Bradaric ↑

Substitution 3

A. Jashari ↓ · L. Modric ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

Y. Fofana ↓ · R. Loftus-Cheek ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

75'

⇄

S. Serdar ↓ · D. Oyegoke ↑

Substitution 4

S. Ricci ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

Z. Athekame ↓ · A. Saelemaekers ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

84'

⇄

A. Harroui ↓ · Al Musrati ↑

Substitution 5

D. Odogu ↓ · F. Tomori ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

AC Milan beat Hellas Verona 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.52 to 0.38. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3.

On the scoresheet: C. Pulisic (45'), C. Nkunku (48'), C. Nkunku (53').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.94 units (Brier 0.089).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.22	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	53%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.05	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.78	—	52%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Home Win	1.42	—	73%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.09	—	92%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	69%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	73%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	76%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.23	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.80	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	9.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.25	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.94u	−35% ROI