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Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Pisa

Predictions Lecce vs Pisa December 12, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Fri 12 Dec · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Pisa
Pisa
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Home Win · LEC
35%
Best 2.47
Draw
30%
Best 2.85
Away Win · PIS
36%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.39
book 2.55 · +6.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +6.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 35.8%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 29.5%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.7%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEC – PIS @ 2.55
+6.7%
Edge
Forecast →