P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Cagliari

Predictions Atalanta vs Cagliari December 13, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Davide Di Marco, Italy
Home Win · ATA
74%
Best 1.34
Draw
18%
Best 5.20
Away Win · CAG
7%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 15.50
Fair odds
13.77
book 15.50 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 7% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (93%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.48
Show model details
Implied probability 18.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ATA – CAG @ 15.50
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →