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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Juventus

Predictions Napoli vs Juventus December 7, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Home Win · NAP
44%
Best 2.53
Draw
29%
Best 2.90
Away Win · JUV
28%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.63 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
NAP – JUV @ 2.63
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →