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Home World UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan — FC Thun

Predictions Lech Poznan vs FC Thun August 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 17:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
FC Thun
FC Thun
W L Away · last 5
Home Win · LEC
55%
Best 1.49
Draw
22%
Best 4.94
Away Win · THU
23%
Best 6.39
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.40 · +8.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +8.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (77%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 22.8%
Odds 5.41
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 45%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – THU @ 2.40
+8.1%
Edge
Forecast →