🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Jagiellonia to win — 63% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Jagiellonia holds a slight home momentum edge with recent draws and wins, while Saburtalo shows signs of resilience on the road. The match hints at a balanced tactical battle, with both sides likely to test each other's defensive lines cautiously. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards a few goals, but the teams’ recent form points to a compact, disciplined approach.
- Home side's stable form offers a pressing edge.
- Away team’s defensive discipline could limit clear chances.
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic attack.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 63% | Jagiellonia win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | No |
| Double Chance | 83% | 1X |
- 1X2 Jagiellonia win 63%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS No 54%
- Double Chance 1X 83%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Jagiellonia
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.03 / 1.28
Saburtalo
W/D/L
1-3-1
Goals (for / against)
5 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Jagiellonia wins when scoring first
—
①
Saburtalo wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Jagiellonia BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Saburtalo BTTS rate · last 8
75%
↑
Jagiellonia Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Saburtalo Over 2.5 · last 8
63%
↩
Jagiellonia comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Saburtalo comeback rate · last 8
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Jagiellonia · last 4 at home
0–15
10%
16–30
20%
31–45
10%
46–60
10%
61–75
10%
76–90
40%
Saburtalo · last 1 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
100%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.