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Home World UEFA Champions League Kairat Almaty — Levski Sofia

Predictions Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia August 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 11 Aug · 15:00
0:1
Full-time
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
W D W W D Away · last 5
Referee D. Siebert
Home Win · KAI
41%
Best 3.00
Draw
27%
Best 3.15
Away Win · LEV
32%
Best 2.66
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.16
Fair odds
3.10
book 3.16 · +2.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 32% · EV +2.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (41%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.16
Show model details
Implied probability 31.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
KAI – LEV @ 3.16
+2.0%
Edge
Forecast →