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Home World UEFA Champions League Hapoel Beer Sheva — FK Crvena Zvezda

Predictions Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda August 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Tue 04 Aug · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
W W L L Away · last 5
Referee J. Manzano
Home Win · HAP
29%
Best 5.09
Draw
25%
Best 4.07
Away Win · CRV
46%
Best 1.67
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.90
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.90 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 29%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 11.10
Show model details
Implied probability 9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 29%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
HAP – CRV @ 3.90
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →