Match Vestri vs Qarabag July 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.98 — +14.9% better than the market.

Qarabag arrives with clear momentum after recent wins, while Vestri struggles to find form. The away side's tactical discipline and experience in European competition likely give them an edge, especially against a home team lacking recent confidence. Expect a controlled pace with Qarabag managing the game and limiting risks.

Qarabag's away composure and structured defense
Vestri's current poor form and pressure at home
Likely cautious tempo favoring fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.98 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 51% +0.98u

+98%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VES 4-1-4-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

VES · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

1 Steinarsson

22 Gardarsson

13 Jóhannsson

3 Edson

45 Einarsson

7 Stensson

77 Fall

18 Hagbarðsson

14 Eydal

11 Selven

19 Duah

99 Kochalski

2 Silva

55 Hüseynov

4 Várkonyi

5 Langa

35 Bicalho

8 Janković

7 Mouaddib

20 Borges

10 Zoubir

11 Sawo

Match recap

Qarabag won 3–0 away at Vestri. At half-time it was 0–2.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.85 units (Brier 0.076).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.62	—	71%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.98	—	58%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.83	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	25.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	19.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	8.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	7.30	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.30	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	10.20	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.02	—	89%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Away Win	1.08	—	76%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.02	—	76%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.10	—	78%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.33	—	61%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−5.85u	−39% ROI