Match Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol July 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +11.6% better than the market.

This UEFA Europa League clash looks set for a cautious tempo, with both sides showing recent draws and a market leaning towards fewer goals. Aluminij’s home momentum is balanced by Sheriff Tiraspol’s disciplined defensive shape, suggesting a compact battle. Expect a tactical match where set-piece opportunities and defensive organization could be decisive.

Home side’s slight edge in familiarity and conditions
Both teams’ recent form indicates solidity over flair
Market signals favor a low-scoring, tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ALU 3-5-2 · SHE 3-4-3

ALU · 3-5-2 3-4-3 · SHE 31 Raduha

6 Šimunić

5 Boben

4 Schaubach

42 Koderman

7 Taylor

14 Jagić

13 Vrbanec

32 Težak

45 Susso

25 Bajraj

99 Koné

76 Pergjoni

7 Fratea

19 Asprilla

42 Loukou

📊 Statistics

ALU 0 – 1 SHE

3

Yellow Cards

1

Match recap

Sheriff Tiraspol won 1–0 away at Aluminij. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.53 units (Brier 0.152).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.87	—	62%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.67	—	67%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.83	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.98	—	44%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.20	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	—	41%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.90	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	87%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.25	—	71%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.85	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.42	—	44%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Draw	3.32	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	78%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.53u	−21% ROI