P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Europa League Derry City — CSKA Sofia

Match Derry City vs CSKA Sofia July 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Derry City
Derry City
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Thu 16 Jul · 17:30
1:2
Full-time
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
W D D W L Away · last 5
Referee J. Sabotic
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.05
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.95
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.84
Total goals
3
1 · 2
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +14.4% better than the market.

This UEFA Europa League clash hints at a cautious encounter, with recent form favoring CSKA Sofia who arrive on a winning note, while Derry City struggles for momentum. The odds suggest a tight, low-scoring game, likely shaped by disciplined defensive setups and a measured pace. CSKA's away resilience could challenge Derry's home edge, but expect a compact battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • CSKA's recent form gives them a slight psychological edge
  • Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
  • Under 2.5 goals seems a reasonable expectation

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

DER 12 CSK
1
Yellow Cards
4

Match recap

CSKA Sofia won 2–1 away at Derry City. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.08 units (Brier 0.172).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.95 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.84 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.92 46% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 43% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 41% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.40 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 81% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Home Win 3.70 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.28 70% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.85 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.44 46% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 82% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 65% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.08u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
DER – CSK @ 1.95
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →