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Home World World Cup England — Argentina

Predictions England vs Argentina July 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
England
England
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Wed 15 Jul · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Argentina
Argentina
W W W W L Away · last 5
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta Referee Ismail Elfath, USA
Home Win · ENG
38%
Best 2.80
Draw
30%
Best 2.97
Away Win · ARG
32%
Best 3.12
Value pick
Over 1.5
@ 1.40
Fair odds
1.29
book 1.40 · +8.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 77% · EV +8.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.4%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 40.1%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.3%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 31.9%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
ENG – ARG @ 1.40
+8.3%
Edge
Forecast →