Match FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb July 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.60 — +9.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this UEFA Champions League clash leans toward a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight edge to a tight defensive setup, favoring under 2.5 goals. Dinamo Zagreb may hold a subtle quality advantage, but without clear home momentum or attacking dominance signals, expect a compact game where set-piece opportunities could be decisive.

Defensive solidity likely to shape the match
Modest pace inferred from goal market odds
Potential for a tactical, low-scoring battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.60 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-4-2 · ZAG 4-2-3-1

THU · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · ZAG

96 Labeau

📊 Statistics

THU 1 – 1 ZAG

43%

Possession (%)

57%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 16, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.63 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.50	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.30	—	52%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	55%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	2.00	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.60	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.60	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	51%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.49	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	84%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	69%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.63u	−15% ROI