Match Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana July 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.67 — +14.8% better than the market.

Shamrock Rovers host Floriana in a UEFA Champions League qualifier where home momentum is slightly dented by recent losses, while Floriana arrives on the back of a win, hinting at rising confidence. The match is likely to be cagey with a low goal environment suggested by odds favoring under 2.5 goals and no BTTS.

Home side’s pressing edge may be tested by Floriana’s compact defensive block.
Floriana’s recent form offers an early signal of resilience away from home.
Expect a tactical battle with cautious buildup and limited clear-cut chances.

Floriana could exploit set-piece opportunities against Shamrock’s defense, but overall the game may lack high tempo, favoring a tight scoreline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 69% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SHA 3-5-2 · FLO 4-4-2

SHA · 3-5-2 4-4-2 · FLO

1 McGinty

5 Grace

4 Pico

27 O'Sullivan

11 Mulraney

7 Watts

26 O'Sullivan

29 Byrne

19 Brennan

88 McGovern

10 Burke

23 Cioletti

21 Zammit Lonardelli

4 Kauan

3 Beerman

11 Murić 16 Romano

22 Gudelj

📊 Statistics

SHA 5 – 1 FLO

56%

Possession (%)

44%

21

Total Shots

6

14

Shots on Target

1

7

Shots off Target

5

6

Corner Kicks

2

3

Yellow Cards

1

Match recap

Shamrock Rovers beat Floriana 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 6, 14 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.25 units (Brier 0.208).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.05	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.67	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.38	—	31%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.90	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.52	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	84%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.28	—	65%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	65%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	5.50	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	23%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	83%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.25u	−25% ROI